HOT READ Issues That Impact Your $$

The Bears ARE Right.  

With markets near all-time highs, following a rip-roaring start to 2019, who in their right mind can make such a statement?!  Can that possibly be true?! 

It IS very possible that it is true, unfortunately.  (See the first article in our Central Bank Spotlight section below).  Its possible that the Bears are right, but perhaps that reality has simply not been allowed to manifest itself due to all the manipulations by the Central Banks. 

The Central Banks essentially surrendered in January: the Fed, the European Central Bank, the People's Bank of China, and of course, the Bank of Japan (which actually surrendered long ago). 

They cannot stop pinning interest rates to the floor and they cannot stop printing money or their system will ultimately fail: when 'investors' lose confidence in a systems integrity, they flee.  While we fully expect they will try every trick in the book, history books are rife with examples of such tactics working ... until they fail miserably.  Perhaps unlimited money and computer trading will 'make it different this time'?  Until then, however, asset rallies are not only possible, they may be very strong as January demonstrated ... apparently nobody can match unlimited central bank money in the markets buying assets left and right. and Wall Street traders are more than happy to pile on with them. 

'Investors' who choose to chase such gains, will need to stay on top of developments for certain, however, or risk those gains evaporating, and quickly!

The articles below have been selected to keep readers up to speed with these harsh realities.

Don't forget to check out our Quarterly Letters for more 'color',  and to access archived articles, explore the archives at the bottom.

Top Watches

Our Central Bank Explained in 3 Minutes  -  Josh Owens

Jim Cramer on Market Manipulation - Youtube

The Big Short  - now available on DVD!

The Central Bank Spotlight - Top 5+:

The Bears ARE Right  -  Northman Trader

Doomsday Scenario for Stocks  -  Charles Hugh Smith

So the Fed Does Not Target Markets, Eh?  -  Real Investment Advice / RIA

Fed TIghtening is Over  -  Dollar Collapse

Fed Admits IT 'Murders' Markets  -  ZeroHedge

Two Percent for the One Percent - The Fed's True Impact  -  RealInvestmentAdvice

Bulls Corner - Top 5+:

Is the Bull Back - Or is it a Trap?  -  Real Investment Advice

Stocks Rise with Positive Earnings and Outlooks  -  Fox Business

Earnings and Outlooks Expected to be Strong  -  Zack's

Clear Signs the Trump Rally Has Room to Run!  -  Marketwatch / David Tepper

Trump Has Awakened Animal Spirits!!  -  Bloomberg / Dimon

Bull Market - Why Investors Should Fear Missing Out  -  Forbes

Bears Corner - Top 5+:

Debt and Defaults Both Rise  -  Motley Fool

Deficit All Time Record (Is this Bullish or Bearish??)  -  The Hill

Currency Wars: China's PetroYuan will Challenge US Military  -  Global Research

China & Russia Challenge the US Dollar  -  Strategic Culture

'Crash Risk Soaring - this is Where They Lost Their Minds' -  John Hussman

Are Central Banks Losing Control?  -  Charles Hugh Smith

Other Hot Issue Reads:

10 Reasons Stocks Will Have a Great 2018 - Forbes

Wall Street Forecasters Think 2018 Will Be Great -  Yahoo Finances

Central Banks: $10 TRILLION in Asset Purchases in Q1 2017 -  ZeroHedge

Dow Drops 550 Again - Biggest Weekly Fall Since March  -  Fox Business 12/7/18

Europe Proposes Restrictions on Cash  -  ZeroHedge

The Fed's Reluctance to Learn from Japan  -  Viable Opposition

Here Is Why Stocks Keep Going UP  -  Chris Ciavacco

Insiders Stock-buying Dries Up  -  WSJ 

Fed Rate Hike Fantastically Bullish For Stocks  -  RealMoney

More Proof Yellen Out of Touch  -  David Stockman

Manhatten Real Estate Plummets - 2017 03 -  Bloomberg

India Restricts Cash! First Domino to Fall?  -  Forbes

Predictions on the Trapped Fed plus Election 2016  -  Jim Rickards

Sell Everything: 'Bond King' Jeff Gundlach -  CNBC

Nomi Prins:  Fed Wreaks Destruction  -  Youtube

Is This an Enron-type 'Top' Signal?  -  Zerohedge

The 'Negative Interest Rates' Doom Loop  -  Zerohedge

Why The Fed Cannot Stop the Next Crash  -  Tao Macro

Major Rally Still Possible   -  King World News

Wall Street Bull Calls for Double Digit Rally in 2016  -  Business Insider

HiYield Bonds Suggest Stock Rally Into Year End  -  CNBC

Obama Administration AGAIN Bails Out Wall Street: Mega-Landlords   -  Naked Capitalism

Alibaba's Jack Ma at Davos: Where America Went Wrong  -  Yahoo

Anti-Corporate Protests Sweeping Europe  -  The Anti-Media

EU's Chief Economist:  The EU is a House of Cards  -  Liberty Blitzkreig

The Recovery Is A Hoax - 'The Invisible American'  - Gallup CEO

German Savers Lose Faith in Banks - Buy Safes  -  Wall Street Journal

Obamacare a Fully Predictable Failure  -  Peter Schiff

Buying Stocks Now? EVERY Investor Should Read This  - Lance Roberts

Why Main Street Isn't Buying Obama's Economic Story  -  Lance Roberts

Global Earnings Tumble  -  Bloomberg

QE Forever Will Have a Catastrophic End  -  Financial Times

Central Banks Pumping $180B / Mo into 'Markets'  -  Zerohedge

No Mystery - Central Banks Biggest Stock Buyers  -  Zerohedge

Brexit Proved It Is All Central Bank Funded Illusion  -  Mark St. Cyr

Balance Sheet Rot & the Bre-lief Rally  -  Lance Roberts

A Rudimentary Review of Bubbles  -  Lance Roberts

'Permanently High Plateaus End Poorly  -  John Hussman

The Biggest Bank Heist in History  -  SwissAmerica

Additional Insight - For Both Bulls & Bears

CB's Desparate: HELICOPTER MONEY IS NEXT!  -  Zerohedge

FULL WEIMAR ! - The Central Bankers  Want to MONETIZE Everything - Reuters,Yahoo,Fox Biz

$14 TRILLION in Negative Yieds Is Not Enough - ELIMINATE CASH!!  -   Mises.org

Alternate View - Has a Financial Coup d'etat Occurred?  -  USA Watchdog

Mutiny at the FBI - Corruption Threatens Everyones' Investments  -  Zerohedge

Social Security:  Bust  -  Econimica

Fed Up With The Fed  -  Charles Hugh Smith

Trump is Right About the Debt, the Fed's a Sham   -  Stockman's Contracorner

Most Stock Gains Since 2005 Come at 2am  -  ZeroHedge

Fed Admits Pumping Market for Rich (& WS) for Wealth Effect  -  ZeroHedge

Rare Technical Signal Flashing Red  =  MarketWatch

Druckenmiller: Reckless Fed Has No Endgame but Market Does  -  Forbes

US Setting Stage to Join Europe in Banning Cash - Bloomberg

Albert Edwards:  Let Me Tell You How This All Ends  -  ZeroHedge

Angry Americans - The Story of Failed Economic Recovery - John Cunningham

Yellen May Force Negative Interest Rates on US Debt Serfs - Fox Business

Icahn Affirms -  System Broken by the Fed  -  Reuters 

Uh Oh - Could Bubble 3 Be Rolling Over?  -  Lance Roberts

ECB Extends QE Program $70B/Mo into 2017  -  Bloomberg

Warren Buffett Isn't Worried About Wild Markets  - MarketWatch

The Bear Claw Will Strike Again  -  Louise Yamada / CNBC

Political Interpretation on The Wizard of Oz  -  Wikipedia

Banking Industry Deliberately Causes the Panic of 1907  -  Investopedia

Big Banks Instantly Raise Rates for Borrowers, Screw Depositors  -  Fox Business

Third Fed-Bubble in 15 Years Ready to Dive  -  Marketwatch

This Indicator Has Preceded Two Crashes  -  Yahoo

Canada Follows Fed's Lead: Negative Interest Rates  -  Zerohedge

Jim Grant and Steve Forbes on Bubbles and Bargains  - Forbes

How $4Trillion of Money Creation Has Done Nothing for Mainstreet  -  David Stockman

Fed Fiddles with Inflation While Middle Class Burns  -  David Stockman

The Fed Has Failed the Nation  -  Charles Hugh Smith

Scientific Study:  US is an Oligarchy, Not a Democracy

 

 

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Prior intro:

Many valuable articles are linked below, but first, let's set the backdrop: unprecedented efforts of Central Banks have greatly distorted markets for the past few decades (in particular this past one), led of course by our own Federal Reserve.  Their support of governments worldwide, enticing them to overspend money that does not exist, has successfully boosted asset prices, but ... artificially, quite obviously.  As of the end of 2018, CBs were just ending their conjuring up of nearly $120 Billion per year. End result?  WILD volatility and a 20%+ drop in stock markets ... a 'bear' market.

Central Bank strategies have succeeded at making the rich richer, yet much of the world's populace is losing wealth under these same Banker-mandated acts of Financial Repression.  We posted the following at the end of 2017:  "We expect a bad ending at some point not too far down the road, perhaps even in 2018"

Negative Interest Rates (NIRP), falsified economic data, movements to ban the use of cash (so it can be trapped and controlled), and direct market manipulations are just a few of the Financial Repression tactics that swepting through governments and central banks worldwide  Now we see 'Yellow Vests' revolting against financial and other repression all over the world.

Since 1970, when the U.S. detached the dollar from gold, IE left the gold-standard, relentless money printing and suppression of interest rates have pushed assets to record highs.  Given the neary 50 year down-trend in rates, it seems unlikely that rates will ever be able to return to 'normal'.  Once again, the U.S. 10 Year Treasury failed in Q4 2018 to lift above a measly 3% yield.  Take note!

Other major super powers are working to lesson the U.S. monopoly on money, a luxury perhaps approaching its last days.  In late March 2018, China launched an Oil Exchange backed by their currency, the Yuan.  Since the early 1970's it was the U.S. Dollar alone that was backed by the world's oil.  This move by China is a potential Game Changer ... and it is but one of many.

Following the wild finish to 2018, investors should keep their eyes on 1) the Central Banks, 2) the challenge to U.S. supremacy by China/Russia/Iran and their allies, and 3) the increasing Geo-political turmoil, including the Yellow Vests.

 

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